Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 154.718248 180.911283 212.070572 252.415480 304.092652 3.692415e+02 4.595592e+02
2025-03-02 120.819190 152.592701 194.863014 257.204526 350.557385 4.921501e+02 7.392366e+02
2025-03-09 102.457915 135.808136 183.492788 260.355435 389.360117 6.159438e+02 1.100814e+03
2025-03-16 87.956259 120.505143 169.444477 253.584828 407.639726 7.125548e+02 1.496147e+03
2025-03-23 81.078382 114.725176 167.903049 265.582344 461.903804 9.072078e+02 2.349713e+03
2025-03-30 71.781016 103.631006 155.578829 255.182202 468.353982 1.001245e+03 3.074214e+03
2025-04-06 66.314052 97.794301 150.896123 257.603271 502.779207 1.190801e+03 4.598918e+03
2025-04-13 61.257065 91.927880 145.130090 256.381871 528.410114 1.377965e+03 6.794321e+03
2025-04-20 58.891130 90.268043 146.590221 270.391898 598.553660 1.786347e+03 1.318089e+04
2025-04-27 57.859423 90.751166 152.059049 294.638477 710.322593 2.527394e+03 3.681158e+04
2025-05-04 54.171718 86.026234 146.629629 292.059184 739.971364 2.941251e+03 7.582502e+04
2025-05-11 51.501161 82.888608 143.951466 295.662455 793.081846 3.610992e+03 2.466843e+05
2025-05-18 48.537288 79.230425 140.377040 298.118154 852.770998 4.582123e+03 2.920602e+06
2025-05-25 46.079886 76.338025 138.145015 304.164118 935.196166 6.164300e+03 NaN
2025-06-01 43.750307 73.428934 135.416279 308.133063 1014.500467 8.291172e+03 NaN
2025-06-08 40.870142 69.140383 128.995719 299.610402 1030.827674 9.800023e+03 NaN
2025-06-15 39.717420 68.214034 130.149557 314.726084 1184.381426 1.591883e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 37.084899 64.010784 123.042701 301.619340 1171.122086 1.802037e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 35.562693 61.989296 120.931772 304.666315 1261.723281 2.642011e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 33.944198 59.627734 117.698816 303.128835 1324.452582 3.716890e+04 NaN
2025-07-13 33.343980 59.378027 119.683175 320.802962 1550.838940 8.595725e+04 NaN
2025-07-20 33.259718 60.231623 124.618229 351.585633 1950.919930 4.488271e+05 NaN
2025-07-27 31.837329 58.002995 121.145578 348.299566 2038.576628 1.134582e+06 NaN